Get your guys regardless of ADP (but, still within reason of course). Running behind one of the league's worst offensive lines in 2019, Bell rushed for 52.6 yards per game and averaged 3.2 yards per carry, both of which were career lows. That’s not in the middle slot. Westbrook was the WR45 (half-PPR scoring) last year and is a low-upside option with a little more appeal in PPR formats compared to non-PPR leagues. Wide receivers will likely be falling where they shouldn’t in this situation. Woods scored only three touchdowns -- two receiving and one rushing -- in 2019, but he posted very similar numbers in other categories -- 9.3 targets per game (8.1 in 2018), 6.0 receptions (5.4) and 75.6 yards (76.2) last season. I have always preferred getting a later first-round pick around the 10 spot so that you still get solid value in the first round, but also have a shot at an early round-two pick as well. Week 6 Bold Predictions (2020 Fantasy Football), Monkey Knife Fight Advice: Week 6 (2020 Fantasy Football), OwnersBox Week 6 NFL Values (2020 Fantasy Football), Weekend Waiver Wire Stashes (Week 6 Fantasy Football), FanDuel NFL Cash Game Lineup Advice: Week 6 (2020 Fantasy Football), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Looking at the players you want in the next two rounds and how you think they’ll fall compared to how the other teams around your draft spot have built is clutch. The Zero RB strategy is a way to go here if you don’t want to take the risk of grabbing an RB early, though it isn’t the most common approach. During that span, Kelce has averaged a line of 92/1,182/7. 16.06 - Robbie Gould, K, San Francisco 49ers. For more from John, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyFerguson. I'm in an 8 team league as well and won last year. What is a little more interesting about this list compared to the early draft slot is there are more receiver busts here than we saw in the early slot where the only busts were backs. Go with the flow and let the draft come to you. Here is a look at the players whose pre-draft rank or ADP fell in the fifth through eighth slot range over a four-year span thanks to FantasyData.com and how they actually finished. In 2016, Ezekiel Elliott was the only player to outperform his draft slot and one of the only players in this four-year sample to do the same. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Disclosures. You get another, and you wait. More talented (four-star high school recruit) than his UDFA status (due to off-field reasons) would imply, Williams made an immediate impact for the Dolphins with 32/428/3 in eight games before tearing his ACL. So, without further ado, here is the perfect 18-round fantasy football draft strategy for 12-team PPR leagues in 2020. If Cook misses any time this year, Mattison becomes a plug-and-play top-12 option in Minnesota's run-first attack. Week 6 Practice Report & Injury Recap (2020 Fantasy Football), FantasyPros Football Podcast: Matchup Previews: Week 6 + Injury Analysis w/ Dr. David Chao, Dan Harris's Week 6 Rankings (2020 Fantasy Football), Kyle Yates' Last-Minute Week 6 Cheat Sheet (2020 Fantasy Football), Let's Make a Deal: 10 Players to Target in Trades in Week 6 (2020 Fantasy Football), Five Burning Questions for Week 6 (2020 Fantasy Football), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Despite running behind a terrible offensive line at Florida State, the former five-star recruit became just the third back in school history to reach the 1,000-yard mark in back-to-back seasons and 3.9 yards of his 4.9 YPC came after contact, per PFF. After the first round, you will always have two picks close to each other (unless it’s a straight draft) meaning that at times, you may have to be comfortable reaching for players that you really want ahead of their ADP. 8 overall in PPR leagues How to navigate from the eighth overall pick in a PPR … 3.07 - Robert Woods, WR, Los Angeles Rams. McCoy was also drafted as the RB5 with six total running backs going in the first round that year, so him finishing as the RB7 isn’t a huge dip in value, but a dip nonetheless that would also put him in the second round. Is landing an RB with a top-four pick an absolute must or have we been selecting players in the early part of drafts all wrong? Run custom mocks with your league settings with our Draft Simulator >>. Once you get through the first four or five rounds of a draft, anything can happen and draft slot doesn’t matter quite as much as your overall strategy and landing players who are able to outperform their ADP. Kelce has finished as either the TE1 (2016, 2018 and 2019) or TE2 (2017) in each of the past four seasons. Ingram's grip on the lead-back role is weakened some by the team drafting a talented back (J.K. Dobbins), but the veteran back remains a viable RB2 in 2020. My strategy was a bit different. 14.06 - Darrynton Evans, RB, Tennessee Titans. Usually, you are trying to decide between a couple of different players with each pick, and when you have closer picks together, it’s easy to land two guys you like who are being drafted around the same average draft position. Given the opt outs of the 2020 NFL season by Albert Wilson and Allen Hurns, the duo of Parker and Williams may see an even larger target share with Wilson and Hurns sitting 2020 out. Middle Pick Draft Slot Strategy (Fantasy Football) ... For league builds, we are basing this off of standard 12-team leagues and 15-round drafts with a PPR scoring format. If I have a late first-round pick, I would also be willing to take Jacobs then over guys like Mixon and Cook because of some question marks coming up about their contracts. Not only was he dominant in his partial (six starts) rookie season, but Watson finished as a top-four fantasy quarterback in both of his full seasons (2018 and 2019). The QB position has been hit hard with the wait as long as you can method due to the variance in scoring between the top-tier QBs and the mid-tier QBs not being as big compared to the other skill positions such as WR, RB, and TE. Disclosures. The first-round pick can help you set the tone for how you want the rest of your draft to go. 2018 wasn’t too bad with the exception of Leonard Fournette being a first-round bust. Call me impatient, but it’s hard not to see that as a slight disadvantage on draft day. Expected to be ready for Week 1, Williams should pick up where he left off in year two. If you're seeking draft-slot strategy for a 12-team PPR, you can read that here. Counting three playoff games, Henry rushed for 1,986 yards and 18 touchdowns over 18 games in 2019. My first pick (I think I was 6th in the draft order) was Andrew Luck. After the team's bye (Week 9), Woods had a minimum of nine targets every week and averaged 11.3 per game to yield 7.4/94.7/0.3 receiving per game. 5.07 - DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins. Over the years we have seen a flow of RB heavy, to WR heavy, then back to RB heavy again inside the top-four. 11.07 - Alexander Mattison, RB, Minnesota Vikings. Predicting Picks If the teams have built heavy at running back in the early rounds, you know that there is probably value on the board with wide receivers falling so they will likely go for wide receiver soon and vice versa. Ezekiel Elliott is one of the few mid-first round selections over the last few years not to bust. Bell's 311 touches were eighth-most last season, but Bell ranked 35th (4.02) in yards per touch among the 38 running backs that amassed 140-plus touches last season. Again, with the early draft slot, you do have the advantage of knowing that you will get a shot at one of your top-four favorite players in the first round. John Ferguson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. Check out a 2020 - 12 Team - PPR - Mock Draft - Pick 8 Mock Drafting is one of the best ways to practice how you will attack your draft. Looking ahead at the teams in front of you and how they’re building their team is the best indicator in attempting to predict which players might fall to you in the next round and how you should be building yours. Perhaps a bit of a reach at the end of Round 1, the Titans drafted a 350-pound, road-grading right tackle (Isaiah Wilson) to fill the void of Jack Conklin's free-agent departure. Once you get through the pressure of selecting your first-round pick, you’re off to the races. window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Follow us on Twitter @FantasyPros for exclusive advice and contests, © Copyright 2010-2020 FantasyPros.com Don’t force a strategy that just won’t work. Here is a look at how the top-four picks have looked over the last few years to give us an idea of positional trends as well as how these picks have paid off at the end of the season: There are a few interesting trends to point out here in the first round. Be aggressive in the middle of drafts and always be keeping a close eye on the teams ahead of you to make the smartest picks possible. I can’t stress this enough. Being at an early and late draft slot can make it difficult to predict which players and positions will fall back to you. Cheat Sheets, sleepers & more >>, Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Google Play | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | TuneIn | RSS. For more from John, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyFerguson.window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Follow us on Twitter @FantasyPros for exclusive advice and contests, © Copyright 2010-2020 FantasyPros.com This table here explains to me a little more why I have always hated the mid-round draft slot. You get a guaranteed shot at landing a consensus top-four draft pick that can be considered a potential league winner. Historical ADP is being referenced from FantasyData.com. In fact, the group is worse off with Wilson and Hurns opting out. Jackson opened the 2019 season and his return to Philly with a bang (8/154/2 in Week 1), but he got hurt in Week 2 and managed just one five-yard reception the rest of the year. Let the draft come to you. The strategy from here on out really can vary and, as always, the best advice you can ever be given in this situation is to be flexible. One of the silver linings of getting a mid-round draft slot is the fact that you can at least have a better shot at trying to predict which players or positions will be taken before your next pick. It was the unconvential fifth-year breakout for Parker, who shattered previous career highs with 72 catches on 128 targets for 1,202 yards and nine touchdowns. The loss of DeAndre Hopkins in addition to the durability concerns of Will Fuller IV and Brandin Cooks poses a threat to his ability to yield another top-four campaign for his fantasy owners in 2020.
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