(Memphis Redbirds). His service-time clock has yet to begin, and he only played 18 games at Triple-A last season. Prospect Projections: NL Central rookies Cards should give Carlson long look; Keller ready for Bucs role Dylan Carlson produced a.914 OPS across the top two levels of the Minors last season. He more than doubled his career stolen-base total with 20 thefts in 28 attempts. The Reds saw an opening for contention in the NL Central, and these types of projections speak to why they have decided to pursue that window on the free-agent side instead of internally.Give it time: Santillan has his believers, in part because he's shown he's capable of touching as high as 98 mph while showing an above-average to plus slider. If he can iron those out in Memphis (where he made 18 appearances in 2019) and keep the K's coming, he should return to St. Louis at some point in the first half. And maybe bring shades when you do. Wild cards: For all of its deficiencies, the Pirates' Major League roster at least seems set when it comes to the rotation. If they decide to give Carpenter a little more rope to rebuild himself, then Edman likely moves into a corner, complicating matters for St. Louis' top prospect. Both players shouldn't expect to see the Majors before 2021 at the earliest. The relevant word there being "had." Lodolo did not receive a Steamer projection after throwing only 18 1/3 innings between Class A Dayton and Rookie Advanced Billings. But last season's move to a relief role proved to be a breakout, and Steamer -- which includes Williams's previous rough goes as a starter -- isn't ready to call him more than a replacement-level arm just yet. But it wasn't the dominance typically shown by top prospects on their way up through the Minors.As it turned out, that dominance came through with a flourish in 2019. That "if" is easier written than said, however.Wild cards: Yadier Molina made waves last week when he suggested he would either re-sign with the Cardinals before or when his contract is up at the end of the season or he would retire. In particular, it believes he would strike 213 times over 600 plate appearances. All players included in the team tables below are ranked prospects who either played at Double-A or above in 2019, sit on their organization's 40-man roster or are placed among MLB.com's Top 100. The 24-year-old made his Major League debut last June, but couldn't quite get off the ground with the big club, batting just .226/.293/.377 in 18 games. This is the fourth in a six-part Toolshed series that uses FanGraphs' Steamer600 projections to look at how prospects would fare over a full Major League season in 2020. At least that's what Steamer believes. The loss of control was especially worrisome, and in the second half, he walked as many batters as he struck out (21) over 30 1/3 innings. The Cardinals could give Edman the starting third-base job over veteran Matt Carpenter coming off a down year, and that would leave the opening for Carlson in the outfield. Follow and interact with him on Twitter, @SamDykstraMiLB. In fact, the club had only two Top-100 prospects in MLB.com's update over the weekend -- No. Both have yet to reach Double-A and received well below replacement-level projections as a result. If Steamer included defensive data for Minor Leaguers, Hayes' value would certainly jump. The good news: the right-hander only turns 23 in April. Because of the former Oregon State hurler's limited pro career, Steamer doesn't have much to go on for Rasmussen, giving him a replacement-level reliever projection. Notably standing at 6-foot-6 and listed at shortstop, the 21-year-old possesses a plus-plus arm and plus power from the left side. The system bases its forecast on 600 plate appearances for position players, 450 plate appearances for catchers, 200 innings for starting. Steamer doesn't have the latter translating to the Majors just yet, but after ending 2019 at Double-A Altoona, a late 2020 promotion could be in the cards, should he be healthy and continue to surge. 58 Liberatore are the other Top-100 prospects in the Cards system. He also got in 11 Southern League starts in center field, giving him another route to Wrigley. The 2017 sixth-rounder has a fan in Steamer, which projected him to have the eighth-highest WAR among potential Pirates starters. It's also a full win behind Reiver Sanmartin (2.1) in sixth place. This is the fourth in a six-part Toolshed series that uses FanGraphs' Steamer600 projections to look at how prospects would fare over a full Major League season in 2020. It doesn't get any easier for Carlson when considering his roster status. But don't rule out Bolton steamrolling his way into the discussion at some point, even this early in his career. Cards should give Carlson long look; Keller ready for Bucs role, Dylan Carlson produced a .914 OPS across the top two levels of the Minors last season. The trick when that happens will be finding him a long-term position, possibly in right field. He batted .292/.372/.542 in 126 games between Double-A Springfield and Triple-A Memphis. Carlson was the MiLB.com staff pick for the Breakout Prospect MiLBY award. Most ready: Not exactly a difficult call here. He proceeded to hit .284/.369/.586 with 27 homers between Double-A Tennessee and Triple-A Iowa and also got in 31 games with Chicago following a July 3 Major League debut. Steamer still pegs him to be a below-average bat right away, but he has the bat-to-ball skills upon which to build and beat that projection in his second Major League season. But do keep an eye on that velocity in his attempt to eclipse 100 innings for the second time in his career.Wild cards: Garcia was one of the most fun stories of the 2019 Minor League season. Most ready: One quick look at the above tables might explain why the Reds have been such heavy players on the free-agent market this offseason. The 22-year-old played 17 games at shortstop with Chicago, but that came at a time when Javier Baez was out injured. Give it time: Hayes played 110 games at Triple-A last season, is MLB.com's second-ranked third-base prospect and could have the third-base job in Pittsburgh whenever he's ready, based on the strength of his defense alone. View fantasy baseball projections for Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals). His last appearance in the Minors was in 2013 before the Cubs signed him off the Italian national team in October 2018. Then again, Carlson looks ready now, the projections back him up and the NL Central looks tighter than ever with the Brewers, Cubs and Reds in place to compete this summer. Just not immediately.Wild cards: There is some buzz around Stephenson entering his probable first season at Triple-A, and the Reds do lack a standout catcher with Tucker Barnhart, Curt Casali and Kyle Farmer acting as options going into 2020. Baez's return likely portends Hoerner's move back to second, where he saw some time with Double-A Tennessee. Carlson was the 33rd overall pick in 2016 coming out of a California high school. All of that results in a replacement-level projection by Steamer. Most ready: CarlsonGive it time: Fernandez has long been known as a fireballer in the Cardinals system, and he used that upper-90s gas to achieve his best Minor League season yet in 2019, his second as a full-time reliever. First, a little background. Hoerner, who enters 2020 as the No. So what's the holdup? The biggest thing holding the 20-year-old back at the moment is his control as he walked 50 batters over 103 2/3 innings between Class A South Bend and Class A Advanced Myrtle Beach in 2019. For starters, his power. The problem: he took a step back statistically in 2019, finishing with a 4.84 ERA, a 1.60 WHIP, 92 strikeouts and 54 walks in 102 1/3 frames at Double-A Chattanooga. Sam Dykstra is a reporter for MiLB.com. He pitched primarily at Double-A Biloxi, where he finished with a 3.54 ERA, 77 strikeouts and 29 walks in 61 frames while throwing a plus-plus fastball and above-average slider. Keller's 3.3 WAR projection is the highest given to any rookie pitcher heading into 2020, just ahead of Brendan McKay's 3.2. To keep pace, the defending NL Central champs should consider fielding the best team they can, and according to Steamer600, that includes Carlson.Keep an eye on the Cardinals complex in Jupiter, Florida, in the coming weeks. Part of it was his age -- just 19. Bonus: Bolton was healthy for all of 2019 after missing time due to forearm issues the year before and shows good sinking action on his four-seam and two-seam fastballs.Top-100 talent: The arrow on Cruz continues to point up as he matures in the Pittsburgh system. He'll have to show these projections were low on him first, though.Top-100 talent: Greene will be returning to Minor League mounds in 2020 after missing all of last season due to Tommy John surgery. St. Louis' half of that equation could depend on Andrew Knizner's development in 2019. Chris Archer, Joe Musgrove and Trevor Williams seem set in their spots, and Keller, Steven Brault and Chad Kuhl are options for the final two. The group on the grass beneath the Gateway Arch is looking a little less crowded these days, and it just so happens that the Cardinals boast a top prospect who is an outfielder. The 22-year-old right-hander posted a 1.52 ERA with 80 strikeouts and 30 walks over 65 innings across the top three levels of St. Louis' system. This helps identify a player's platoon value for fantasy baseball based on pitcher handedness. Still, the 25-year-old right-hander, who can touch triple-digits, should enter the spring in the Major League 'pen conversation, even if he could use a little more proving time at Triple-A San Antonio first.Give it time: Ray's roller coaster of a career continued in 2019, no thanks to hand and wrist injuries that limited him to 53 games at Triple-A. Dylan Carlson Projections | Platoon Splits (RHP vs LHP) Dylan Carlson projected to 150 Games vs RHP and LHP with 12 team mixed fantasy value. A return to the Southern League should do him some good, and if he can find the zone more regularly, he will stay on track to join the Cincinnati rotation at some point. He should force the issue back with Memphis, but if he doesn't, folks should get used to seeing Yadi a little longer.Top-100 talent: Beside Carlson, No. That said, he'll have to be healthy for a lengthy amount of time and cut down the strikeout rate from his 29.8 percent career average to get the most out of his above-average power potential and plus speed.Wild cards: Speaking of roller coasters, Drew Rasmussen's seems to be going the other way. A look at Dylan Carlson for 2020 fantasy baseball and projections. In its recent Top-100 rankings update, MLB.com moved Carlson to the No. Add in his 3.56 ERA and 10.7 K/9 over 103 2/3 innings at Triple-A Indianapolis, and there are some real reasons for optimism here. Never mind that it was his first 20-20 season, it was the first time he had achieved double-digits in both main categories. There are worse pitcher profiles from which to work. 53 Greene. St. Louis became enamored with his ability to switch hit, his potential to play the outfield (even though he'd been a first baseman in high school) and his life as a baseball rat playing under his father as a coach. However, most of his playing time came on the infield at second and third base, making him an option all over. Most ready: MiLB.com's Farm System Rankings will be revealed throughout February and into March, but it's not much of a spoiler to say the Brewers system won't rank highly. Steamer tempers the enthusiasm, saying Marquez would be a replacement-level starter right now over a full season's workload. His power and fielding tools received plus grades with his hit, run and arm all grading out above-average. Minor League Baseball trademarks and copyrights are the property of Minor League Baseball. That might not scream Major League potential, but depth is important, especially for a club entering a rebuild. We offer daily, weekly, rest of season, and full season projections. His peripherals were just too good for Steamer to overlook. The system bases its forecast on 600 plate appearances for position players, 450 plate appearances for catchers, 200 innings for starting pitchers and 65 innings for relievers -- taking into account age, past performance and previous Minor League levels, among other factors.
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